Mills: Controversial National Climate Assessment released

image: Alex Mills

Alex Mills

By Alex Mills

The federal government has issued an extensive report that gives a gloom-and-doom assessment of civilization unless drastic measures are taken soon to stop climate change.

Of course, stopping, or even slowing, climate change is very difficult, if not impossible, because the climate has always changed and will continue to change.

The paper, called the Fourth National Climate Assessment, is filled with general allegations and controversial assumptions. The paper itself points out that the effects of climate change “are often difficult to predict” and can be “difficult to quantify.”

The 1,600-page report suggests many potential negatives to civilization including: growing challenges to human health, major flooding, extended droughts, quality and quantity of water, extreme heat, rising tides, longer-lasting power outages, and doom the U.S. economy.

Steven Koonin, a University Professor at New York University who served as undersecretary of energy and science during President Obama’s first term, wrote an op-ed column in The Wall Street Journal on Tuesday challenging the prediction of economic doom.

“Projecting human-caused changes in the global climate is a major scientific challenge: estimates of the temperature increases due to rising greenhouse-gas concentration are uncertain by a factor of three,” Koonin wrote. “Trying to make projections for a particular regions – such as the contiguous U.S., which comprises only 1.6 percent of the globe’s surface – compounds the uncertainty. Estimates of the economic impact are less certain still, in part because as yet-unknown modes of adaptation will mitigate the effects.”

Regarding energy, the paper states the nation’s energy system will be increasingly threatened by more frequent and longer-lasting power outages because of climate change. “Changes in energy technologies, markets, and policies are affecting the energy system’s vulnerabilities to climate change and extreme weather,” the paper states.

Some governments recently proposed ideas they said were designed to solve some of the issues surrounding climate change. Voters, however, have rejected these ideas through the ballot box and protests.

France has proposed increasing taxes on gasoline and diesel, which was met recently with massive demonstrations. Some 280,000 protesters across France blocked highways and fuel depots last week. President Macron announced the tax increases earlier this year, and they are slated to be implemented in January. If the plans go ahead, gas taxes will rise by $0.12 a gallon on gasoline and $0.26 on diesel. The tax increase coincides with environmental policies of Macron’s government, which has announced plans to ban all gasoline vehicles by 2040.

Voters in Washington state recently rejected a proposed carbon tax that would have been the first such levy in the nation. The policy would have been an effort to fight climate change by mandating that companies using or selling fossil fuels pay taxes equal to $15 per metric ton of carbon, an amount that would rise in future years. The money would have paid for clean air and water projects, as well as community health initiatives. Washington Gov. Jay Inslee led the campaign to implement the tax, arguing that it was a reasonable method to make polluters pay for the damage they cause to the climate.

The debate about the impact of climate change continues, but many citizens have not bought into some of the possible solutions.

Alex Mills is the former President of the Texas Alliance of Energy Producers. The opinions expressed are solely of the author.

Comments

  1. Referring to the Dutton/Brune Penn State METEO 300 chapter 7.2: These two professors quite clearly assume/state that the earth’s current 0.3 albedo would remain even if the atmosphere were gone or if the atmosphere were 100 % nitrogen, i.e. at an average 240 W/m^2 OLR and an average temperature of 255 K.
    That is just flat ridiculous.
    Without the atmosphere or with 100% nitrogen there would be no liquid water or water vapor, no vegetation, no clouds, no snow, no ice, no oceans and no longer a 0.3 albedo. The earth would get blasted by the full 394 K, 121 C, 250 F solar wind.
    The sans atmosphere albedo might be similar to the moon’s as listed in NASA’s planetary data lists, a lunarific 0.14, 390 K on the lit side, 100 K on the dark.
    And the naked, barren, zero water w/o atmosphere earth would receive 25% to 40% more kJ/h of solar energy and as a result would be 20 to 30 C hotter not 33 C colder, a direct refutation of the greenhouse effect theory and most certainly NOT a near absolute zero frozen ball of ice.
    Nick S.
    https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:6466699347852611584
    https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:6457980707988922368

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